Work package 5: Assessment of socio-ecological sustainability (co viability) and future scenarios

The climate, population growth, ... generate pressure on natural resources access that require an access control orchestrated and legitimized at the local level in link with regional levels that will determine the level of social resilience. The future scenarios depend on the play of stakeholders around the space and resources and the relations between social viability and the ecosystem. This WP proposes to assess the potential risks of disrupt between social and ecological viability based on present land use/management, demographic parameters and failure in governance that will support the elaboration of future scenarios.


  • Activity 5.1: Natural resources, ecosystem and future generation: we propose to compare the indicators of environmental efficiency and vulnerability (WP3&4) with the perceptions/representations of the natural capital and their potentiality by the users but also the link between ecosystem potential (scientifically assessed/represented) and future generation (heritage) to assess the future pressure on the resources;
  • Activity 5.2: Future scenarios: The elaboration of future scenarios will be based on cross cutting analysis between the past, present and future adaptation process to ecological and social constraints/changes and between the three research sites. The livestock at the interface between land/agriculture, water, pastureland and settlement is also considered as a good indicator of change.
  • Activity 5.3: Social organization (rules, norms…) and rural development policies: How the social organization is or needs to be taken into account in the rural development policies in order to ensure the social and environmental co-viability? The activities will be based on a bottom up approaches from the social and legal reality to the public law, from producers to policy makers, from the plot to the local.


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